The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
NZD in focus of traders’ attention
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will make the monetary policy statement on June 24 at 5:00 MT time.
Instruments to trade: NZD/USD, NZD/CHF, NZD/JPY
The monetary policy statement is the primary tool the RBNZ uses to communicate with investors. Authorities unveil their decision on interest rates and set guidelines for the economic development. In the middle of March, the RBNZ cut its interest rate to the record low of 0.25%. This time analysts highly expect that rates won’t be changed. It will be more important to know what economic outlook the RBNZ will give and what measures it will take to support the economic recovery.
- If the RBNZ eases its policy, the NZD will weaken;
- If the RBNZ keeps the policy unchanged, the NZD will strengthen.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
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This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.