This week started with the talk of the United States banning Russian oil exports, so XBR/USD saw $130 a barrel. Then the ban became reality. What does it really mean for the market?
Oil alert: wait for the inventories
Key events ahead:
Crude oil inventories – 17:30 MT time
Yesterday’s private survey showed larger-than-expected cut in oil output. The data by American Petroleum Institute estimated a crude oil inventory draw of 11.1 million barrels (vs. the expectations of 2.11-million barrel draw). It boosted the prices for oil. Today we are awaiting the official release by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). According to the forecasts, we will see the number of barrels to decline by 2.8 million. If it is bigger, the oil prices will rise higher.
- The price of WTI rose above the 50- and 100- period SMA yesterday. At the moment of writing, it has been testing the $55.82 level just below the 200-period SMA. If the oil data surprises with the bigger-than-expected decline, the current resistance will be broken and the next key resistance will be placed at $56.26. After that, keep an eye on the $56.54 and $56.9 resistance levels. From the downside, the first support is placed at $55.26. After that, we need to pay attention to the $54.8 and $54.5 levels.
- Brent price has been moving towards the $60.4 resistance level. If the price overcomes this resistance, it will target the next level at $60.86. After that, we will pay attention to the $61.15 and $61.41 levels. On the other hand, sellers will keep an eye on the $59.5 level. After that, the next support will lie at $58.55.
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is scheduled to meet on January 4.
What will happen? Crude oil inventories will be announced at 17:30 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, September 29…
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.