Oil Skyrockets, Gold Is Pressed

Oil Skyrockets, Gold Is Pressed

What drives the market today?

  • Australia has revealed strong retail sales. They dropped less than expected: -1.7% vs the forecast of -2.5%. AUD/USD has jumped by nearly 380 points after the release but then paused.
  • Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index (HK50) rocketed after China’s central bank said it will make all efforts to support the “healthy” development of the property market amid the China Evergrande Group crisis.
  • The 10-year US yield reached 1.5%, the record high unseen since June, as traders priced in the soon Fed’s tapering. The US central bank is going to reduce monthly asset buys by $120 billion. The US dollar However, two regional Fed’s presidents resigned after revelations of embarrassing stock trading last year, they were the most hawkish Fed members.
  • The oil keeps rallying as concerns of a global energy crunch strengthened. Brent has almost reached $80 a barrel – the level which has been unseen since 2018. WTI crude topped $76 a barrel. Goldman Sachs predicts Brent to reach $90 by the end of this year as the energy market is in a huge deficit.
  • Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey claimed that interest rates could rise as early as this year in the UK. It is a positive sign for the British pound.

Tech outlook

EUR/USD has approached the low of August 19 at 1.1670. The euro looks weaker than the US dollar, that’s why the downtrend is likely to continue. If it manages to break through this support level, it will drop to November lows of 2020 at 1.1630. Resistance levels are 1.1700 and 1.1740.

EURUSDDaily.png

Gold has formed the triangle pattern. If it drops below the lower line of the triangle and the candle closes below it, it will fall to the August low of $1730. After that, the metal may plunge to the psychological mark of $1700. Resistance levels are $1780 and $1800.

XAUUSDDaily.png

USD/JPY is rocketing like crazy. It has been making large green candles for 5 days in a row. The 111.50 should be a strong resistance level, which the pair may struggle to cross and pulled back to 111.00. The RSI is getting closer to the overbought zone, and the pair has already jumped above the upper line of Bollinger Bands. Be ready for reverse down.

USDJPYDaily.png

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Similar

USD Holds the Line
USD Holds the Line

The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now. 

US Dollar Prepares for the Pump
US Dollar Prepares for the Pump

On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies. 

Uptrend in Gold Starts Now
Uptrend in Gold Starts Now

Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!

Latest news

Market Crash Incoming?
Market Crash Incoming?

This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.

What Currency Will Overperform?
What Currency Will Overperform?

S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.

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