The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Pound dropped as Boris Johnson’s health got worse
Instruments to trade: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD
Almost two weeks ago Boris Johnson tested positive for the virus, yesterday his health deteriorated and he was placed in the intensive care. As a result, after such negative news the British pound plummeted dramatically today.
It created a political uncertainty in UK, as it would make things even more complicated than it was in such a fragile period for the country as struggling with the coronavirus and getting ready for future Brexit trade negotiations.
All the confidence that the British pound gained at the start of the week was immediately vanished. The market reacted so fast as the virus spread could be shrinking in the USA and Europe, and risk appetite of investors became stronger.
Let’s look at the EUR/GBP chart. The pair had been declining since March 19. However, it hit the 200-day Moving Average at the point of 0.8755 or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level on March 3. Then it reversed and went upward. The resistant line is on 50% Fibonacci level or the 0.89 mark. The next one is on 38.2% or 0.905.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.