Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Pound dropped as Boris Johnson’s health got worse
Instruments to trade: GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD
Almost two weeks ago Boris Johnson tested positive for the virus, yesterday his health deteriorated and he was placed in the intensive care. As a result, after such negative news the British pound plummeted dramatically today.
It created a political uncertainty in UK, as it would make things even more complicated than it was in such a fragile period for the country as struggling with the coronavirus and getting ready for future Brexit trade negotiations.
All the confidence that the British pound gained at the start of the week was immediately vanished. The market reacted so fast as the virus spread could be shrinking in the USA and Europe, and risk appetite of investors became stronger.
Let’s look at the EUR/GBP chart. The pair had been declining since March 19. However, it hit the 200-day Moving Average at the point of 0.8755 or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level on March 3. Then it reversed and went upward. The resistant line is on 50% Fibonacci level or the 0.89 mark. The next one is on 38.2% or 0.905.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.