Manufacturing Data May Shake the USD
The United States will publish the ISM Manufacturing PMI on September 1, at 17:00 MT time (GMT+3).
Pound Sterling is recovering against Dollar
Pound Sterling is recovering against Dollar
GBP is moving up. Why?
The British pound has increased in value over the course of the past week in line with an ongoing improvement in investor sentiment.
Most investors believe the negative impact of the coronavirus will be softened by a generous package of support from global central banks and governments.
We have noticed this past week that investor appetite for 'risk on' assets such as stocks and commodities has returned. This, in turn, has a pass-through effect on the currency and the sterling.
Let’s have a look at GBP/USD price chart with 4-hour timeframe starting from March 20.
The GBP/USD pair bounced aggressively higher, breaking through 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. It regained the half of its positions already and stopped for a moment at the 1.2260 mark almost crossing the 100-period Moving Average. There is the question now if the GBP is so sustainable enough to climb to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level to reach the 1.2515 mark or not. Support lies at 1.2095 and 1.1975.
GBP vs USD
Being the critical driver of the GBP/USD rally, the dollar weakness is a crucial theme nowadays as the US currency took a significant tumble in the wake of the release of weekly labour market data that showed a record surge in unemployment claims.
Further aiding Sterling's advance was the decision by the Bank of England to leave interest rates and levels of quantitative easing unchanged at their scheduled March 26 meeting.
The decision was expected, considering that the Bank has already unleashed a sizeable support package for the economy via the decision to cut interest rates to the bone at 0.10% and inject an additional 200 billion pound into the economy. Moreover, the Bank also continues to stay ready to act by increasing its QE (quantitive easing) program, if need be.
Barclays’ forecast
However, UK high-street lender Barclays predicted the British Pound to depreciate through 2020. According to the bank, the US dollar and Japanese yen will be in a favorable position, while currencies such as sterling will likely suffer.
Barclays are forecasting Chinese economy to grow by 1.3% and expect contractions in the European (-5.5%), Japanese (-1.6%) and the US (-0.6%) ones.
According to Barclay’s, GBP/USD will end June at 1.16, the slide to 1.15 by the end of September and cost 1.14 by year-end.
The Pound-to-Euro exchange rate is forecast at 1.0750 by the end of June, 1.0870 by the end of September and 1.10 by year-end.
Similar
Will There Be Any Changes in US Monetary Policy?
What will happen? The FOMC statement will be published at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 28…
How Will USD React to US Consumer Confidence?
What will happen? US consumer confidence will be announced at 5:00 MT (GMT+3) on Tuesday, July 27…
Latest news
Oil Reached 2018 Highs, German Elections Affect Euro
Commodities (iron ore, oil) and commodity-linked currencies (AUD, CAD) surged. West Texas Intermediate has reached $75 a barrel, while Brent rose to the highest mark since October 2018.
What Will Move the Market on September 27 – October 1?
Although Jerome Powell’s speech sounded hawkish on Wednesday, September 22, markets did not get scared and the main stock indices got bought back…
Turkey has Decreased Interest Rates, But is it a Buy?
Turkey’s central bank governor was at a crossroads: to hold interest rates and take a risk to be fired like it was for three governors before him, or to comply with the president, to cut rates, and to risk the market. Let’s find out, how to react to the rate cut.
Deposit with your local payment systems
