The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
Powell: normalization of the Fed’s policy won’t hurt financial markets
The Federal Reserve System has made it clear to the financial markets that it’s on the verge of raising the benchmark interest rate step by step, and market participants are probably not surprised by the actions of the US key financial institution. That’s what the head of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell pointed out.
The statesman told that the normalization of the Fed's policy is taking place without devastating damage to the financial markets. Moreover, the expectations of traders as for the future policy of the US key bank seem to be in tune with the expectations of the bank’s management.
He added that the overall situation in the economy generally meets expectations, and the financial markets won’t be surprised by the bank’s moves.
The Fed lifted the rate up to six times since December 2015, and each time by 25 basis points. The last time it was increased in March this year - up to 1.5-1.75% per annum, and the management of the key US bank made it clear that they expect two more hikes in 2018.
The gradual soar in the rate helped to maintain the Fed's stimulating policy that backed the surge of employment as well as economic recovery in the United States, and also contributed to a gradual leap in inflation.
Powell is assured that developing countries will easily cope with the gradual normalization of monetary policy in America.
From his point of view In his view, the role of the American monetary policy as a factor affecting global financial conditions as well as capital flows is often overestimated. Moreover, crucial factors in this regard are also the rates of global economic surge and also prices for raw materials.
The Fed will do its best to avert destabilizing markets, bringing its strategy to market participants as transparently and clearly as possible, as Powell stressed.
Three main drivers of the market: the stimulus package, the US presidential election and the coronavirus. Let's look how market reacts.
The USA will publish unemployment claims on October 22 at 15:30 MT time. How to trade after the release?
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.