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RBA meeting will set the way for AUD/USD
|The Australian dollar has suffered a lot since the end of January 2018. Recently AUD/USD fell to the lowest levels since June 2017. However, the Reserve Bank of Australian does not want the Australian dollar to strengthen because it would threaten the nation’s economic growth. As a result, the central bank keeps its interest rate at the record low of 1.5%.|
According to the RBA governor Philip Lowe, the “Australian dollar has depreciated a little recently, but on a trade-weighted basis remains within the range that it has been in over the past two years. An appreciating exchange rate would be expected to result in a slower pick-up in economic activity and inflation than currently forecast.”
The Reserve Bank of Australia will release its rate statement at 7:30 MT time on June 5. Although there are no doubts that the RBA won’t increase the interest rate at this meeting, it’s still worth reading the central bank’s statement. There will be an outlook on current economic conditions and clues on the future monetary policy. The dynamics of the AUD will depend on the tone of the RBA.
• Dovish RBA – weak Australian dollar;
• Hawkish RBA – strong Australian dollar.
The ECB statement and US unemployment claims will be out today. How the market will react?
The European Central Bank will publish the last statement of the year on December 10, at 14:45 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.