The crypto market keeps recovering. Bitcoin has broken above $57,000. The way up to $60,000 is open now!
Retail data for the US: down again?
The US will publish headline and core retail sales at 15:30 MT time on May 15.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF
While the headline retail sales show the total value, the core indicator excludes sales of automobiles due to their volatility. Based on their data, we may judge the economic activity of a country and the level of consumer spending. During the previous release, both indicators fell significantly. The headline one declined by -8.7% (vs. -8% expected). The core indicator surprised traders positively, though, if we may call it "positive". The indicator fell by "just" -4.5% (vs. the forecast of -4.9%). The pandemic hit US retailers hard as well as the US dollar. The greenback fell to the red zone on the release.Will we see a different outcome this time? There is a little chance that we do, but if that happens the US dollar will be a winner. Remember the simple rules:
• if the actual levels of indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• if the actual levels of indicators are worse than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The US Inflation Rate (CPI) will be announced on Wednesday, October 13, at 15:30 MT (GMT+3). Traders eagerly await this event as it will impact the USD and thus the vast majority of currency pairs in the Forex market.
The upcoming CPI and the earnings season are the main events in the focus of traders next week. Check out more!
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The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).