Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify today at 19:05 MT time. This event is crucial for traders as the tone of the speech may set the risk tone for the markets for the next two weeks.
Retail sales may strengthen the USD
The USA will publish retail sales and core retail sales on November 17, at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
In general, the indicators of retail sales demonstrate a change in the total value of sales by consumers and businesses. They help to understand current consumer demand and suggest whether the economy is heading towards expansion or contraction. Traders take into account not only the headline indicator but also the core one. The latter is calculated without volatile automobile sales, making figures more accurate. Based on the data published, we may propose the further destiny of the USD. Last time, both headline (+1.9%) and core (1.5%) indicators outperformed the forecasts. This news pushed the US dollar higher in a short term.
- If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will go up;
- In case of an alternative scenario, the USD will fall.
Non-farm payrolls, the most awaited economic report, will be out on March 5 at 15:30 MT time.
Australian GDP rose by 3.1%, exceeding analysts’ forecasts of 2.5%. The Australian dollar climbed after the release, but then joined its peers in falling against the USD.
Saudi Aramco site was hit by missiles on Sunday - no damage to oil supply was taken, but investor fear drove the price into the upside. Time to trade the cooling off then!
Great news for oil bulls! OPEC and its allied producers agreed to expand output cuts for the next month.
The USD skyrocketed after Fed Powell’s speech. OPEC and allied producers agreed to extend production cuts for another month. Oil surged.