This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
Retail sales may strengthen the USD
The USA will publish retail sales and core retail sales on November 17, at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
In general, the indicators of retail sales demonstrate a change in the total value of sales by consumers and businesses. They help to understand current consumer demand and suggest whether the economy is heading towards expansion or contraction. Traders take into account not only the headline indicator but also the core one. The latter is calculated without volatile automobile sales, making figures more accurate. Based on the data published, we may propose the further destiny of the USD. Last time, both headline (+1.9%) and core (1.5%) indicators outperformed the forecasts. This news pushed the US dollar higher in a short term.
- If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will go up;
- In case of an alternative scenario, the USD will fall.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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The RBA and the Bank of Canada will add volatility to the AUD and the CAD, while USD is expected to be boosted by the Non-farm payrolls.