Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
Risk assets are starting week on rise
- Risk assets are recovering after a losing streak in the previous week as progress in the extra US stimulus package improved the market sentiment.
- The House passed Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus aid package. The next move is up to Senate.
- Bank of America upgraded its projections for economic growth to 6.5% for 2021 due to hopes for the larger stimulus package.
- China’s Manufacturing and Services PMI reports fell short of analysts’ expectations. The factory activity reached the lowest level since May of 2020. The main reason for the poor data is the Lunar New Year holiday.
- Australian and Canadian dollars are heading to the upside. Gold is trying to rebound its last week’s losses as well.
- Bitcoin tumbled to $43,000 on Friday. Today it has reversed up.
EUR/USD has been trading in an ascending channel since mid-summer. It is trading in the lower part of the channel, therefore, it’s likely to move upwards. If it manages to break the 50-day moving average of 1.2150, the way up to the next resistance of 1.2200 will be open. Support levels are 1.2030 and 1.1950.
GBP/USD is just below the key psychological mark of 1.4000. If it jumps above it, the doors towards the high of February 24 at 1.4150 will be open. On the flip side, the move below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands at 1.3900 will press the pair down to 1.3800.
USD/JPY has crossed the resistance of 106.50, clearing the way to the next resistance of 107.00. However, if we look at the RSI indicator and the Bollinger Bands, we’ll notice that the pair has already entered the overbought area, thus, a soon pullback down is expected. Support levels are 106.50 and 106.00.
Finally, let’s discuss the aussie. AUD/USD has bounced off the 50-day moving average of 0.7700. If it manages to break above the high of February 16 at 0.7800, it may jump to the next resistance of 0.7910. On the flip side, the move below 0.7700 will drive the pair down to the next support of 0.7660.
Follow ISM Manufacturing PMI at 17:00 MT time!
Last week was very interesting for the markets, as we saw the releases of the US Inflation and Disney’s earnings report. So let's see what we should await this week!
The volatility that the markets experienced last week promises the second tidal wave! What should your favorite assets anticipate during the first week of February?
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce average hourly earnings, nonfarm employment change (NFP), and the unemployment rate on July 8, at 15:30 MT time.
The Federal Open Market Committee, a committee within the Federal Reserve, will reveal a detailed record of the central bank’s last meeting on July 6 at 21:00 MT.
The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its cash rate and make a statement about future rate policy on Tuesday, July 5, at 07:30 MT.