The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
Risk-off sentiment pushes safe-havens up
The comment by the US President Donald Trump resulted in the sell-off of the risk-weighted currencies in the market today and an increase of inflows into the safe-haven assets. Of course, those actions were provoked by Trump's suggestion that the US-China trade deal seems unlikely to be reached until the next year's elections.
- USD/JPY has slid below the 200-period SMA and managed to stick below the ascending trendline on H4. If bulls want to push the pair within the uptrend, they will need gear to test the 108.8 level (200-period SMA). If this level is broken, buyers will push the pair higher to the 109.01 level. The key targets from the downside lie at 108.65 and 108.5.
USD/CHF has broken the ascending trendline on H4 and has been moving towards November’s support at 0.9872. After the breakout, bears need to pay attention to the 0.9850 level. As the RSI and stochastic oscillators are oversold, we may suggest that bulls may try to push the pair above the uptrend and test the 0.9896 level. The breakout of this level may push the pair higher to 0.9909.
Three main drivers of the market: the stimulus package, the US presidential election and the coronavirus. Let's look how market reacts.
The USA will publish unemployment claims on October 22 at 15:30 MT time. How to trade after the release?
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.