The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Risk-off sentiment pushes safe-havens up
The comment by the US President Donald Trump resulted in the sell-off of the risk-weighted currencies in the market today and an increase of inflows into the safe-haven assets. Of course, those actions were provoked by Trump's suggestion that the US-China trade deal seems unlikely to be reached until the next year's elections.
- USD/JPY has slid below the 200-period SMA and managed to stick below the ascending trendline on H4. If bulls want to push the pair within the uptrend, they will need gear to test the 108.8 level (200-period SMA). If this level is broken, buyers will push the pair higher to the 109.01 level. The key targets from the downside lie at 108.65 and 108.5.
USD/CHF has broken the ascending trendline on H4 and has been moving towards November’s support at 0.9872. After the breakout, bears need to pay attention to the 0.9850 level. As the RSI and stochastic oscillators are oversold, we may suggest that bulls may try to push the pair above the uptrend and test the 0.9896 level. The breakout of this level may push the pair higher to 0.9909.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.