It will be the hottest week of September, with four central banks’ meetings, five PMI releases, and a lot to trade.
Risk-on sentiment eased on June 4
The market takes a breath after the rally up. What is next?
Stocks have a pause
S&P 500 passed the 3100 mark, unseen level since March. The reopening of economies and stimulus packages across the world improved the market sentiment. Investors believe that the worst is over. And, according to Bloomberg, we’ll see more support for the stock market.
Moreover, the US ADP private payrolls were much less than analysts expected. The data showed that only 2.76 million lost jobs, when 9 million were anticipated. That’s still a poor data, but it’s a sign that the economy is moving in the right direction. Today traders will wait for the US unemployment claims at 15:30 MT time.
Let’s look at the S&P 500 chart. Yesterday it showed the best 50-day trading stretch. If the price advances further, it may ramp up to the March 3 high at 3250. Support levels are 3000 and 2935.
OPEC+ meeting in doubt
Oil closed at the highest level since March: WTI - $37 and Brent - $40. However, today prices slightly contracted. Most investors are in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the OPEC+ meeting. The question is for how long the oil alliance will cut supply. If they agree to extend cuts till the end of the year, it will definitely push prices up. Look at the Brent oil chart below. The price is exactly under the 100-day moving average. If it breaks through it, it will surge up to $45. Support levels are $36 and $34.
To trade Brent with FBS you need to choose BRN-20N.
Gold dropped under risk-on
XAU/USD couldn’t find any demand in such a risk-on atmosphere. The price fell down to the support level at 1700. The next support is at 1680. Resistance levels are 1730 and 1750. Gold set a really bullish trend. And, it’s unlikely that it will reverse soon. It looks more like a short term contraction. Tomorrow NFP at 15:30 MT time should add some volatility to the market. Be ready!
ECB statement today
The European Central Bank will have a meeting today at 14:45 MT time and then later hold a press conference at 15:30 MT time. Click here to know how to trade EUR after the ECB statement.
ECB is ready to take the decision about the key rate. What to expect from officials? Oil prices are high, and economy indicators demonstrate the slowing down in the strongest European economies.
The Fed is going to take a decision about the interest rate. This is the crucial news for the following week. What's going on in the markets and what to expect?
Oil prices are rising and Russia banned the export of its petrol. What's happening in the markets?
Today's main event for the markets is the FOMC Interest Rate Decision, where the US regulator is widely expected to keep the interest rate at the same level of 5.5%.
In today's market insights, we delve into Citibank's oil price predictions, the evolving competition between Huawei and Apple, the Saudi Arabia-Tesla partnership, and the upcoming rate decisions from the world's major central banks.