Risk-on start of the week

Risk-on start of the week

The market sentiment is positive at the start of the week despite constantly rising virus cases all over the world. A few US states imposed curfews, while Europe was forced to introduce lockdown measures. Donald Trump announced that Covid-19 vaccines would be distributed eventually, but it was taken as a political movement. Anyway, it is a tug-of-war between vaccine and virus concerns. Elsewhere, investors will closely follow the further development of the unclear US election. Stocks and riskier currencies are rising, while the US dollar is dipping.


  • The economic data this morning has revealed that Japan’s economy has recovered from the virus slump. Japanese GDP for the third quarter rose more than analysts expected: 5.0% vs. the forecast of 4.4%. However, Japan’s industrial production for September has shown a smaller increase: 3.9% vs. the forecast of 4.0%. USD/JPY is moving down.
  • The second-largest economy has shown a sustained recovery as well. China’s economic indicators were mostly better-than-expected. Fixed asset investments, industrial production, and unemployment rate beat estimates, except retail sales. The Chinese yuan jumped, pushing USD/CNH lower.
  • On the Brexit front, there is no sign of development. Both sides still have some disagreements over the fisheries. If the UK decides to pass the Internal Market Bill, the soft withdrawal will be out of the question. However, the British pound is edging higher amid the risk-on sentiment.
  • All eyes on the speech of ECB’s President Christine Lagarde at 15:00 MT time today.

Technical tips


EUR/USD has approached the level of October highs at 1.1860. If the pair manages to cross it, the way to the key psychological mark of 1.1900 will be clear. Most analysts have mildly bullish forecasts. Nevertheless, if EUR/USD dropped below the key level of 1.1800, the doors towards the 50-day moving average of 1.1770 will be open.



XAU/USD has bounced off the key psychological mark of $1 900. It’s located near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, making this resistance harder to cross. Elsewhere, the 50-day moving average has crossed the 100-day moving average upside down, signaling further falling. Next support levels will be at $1 860 and $1 850. In the opposite scenario, if it manages to break it through, the way towards the $1 912 and then to $1 925 will be open.


S&P 500

The S&P 500 has broken through the psychological level of 3 600. The way up to the all-time high of the last week at 3 665 is clear. On the flip side, the move below the low of October 12 at 3 540 will drive the stock index lower to 3 500.



There are some interesting movements on the AUD/USD chart. The aussie has crossed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.7260. That’s why the pair has chances to reach the next Fibo level of 0.7325 and then the high of September 1 of 0.7380. Support levels are 0.7260 and 0.7210.


Follow up:

  • ECB’s President Christine Lagarde will speak at 15:00 MT time.
  • Canadian and US Manufacturing data will be out half an hour later.



Bearish Signal For The USD
Bearish Signal For The USD

XAUUSD fell below 1900 for the first time since March 2023. Meanwhile, the US dollar index gives a bearish signal. Read the full report to learn more!

Latest news

The US Dollar May Decline
The US Dollar May Decline

Mester (Fed) says the Fed will have to raise rates again this year. However, the US dollar index shows signs of a short-term decline. Read the full article and learn more!

NFP, Oil, and US Stocks Highlight This Week
NFP, Oil, and US Stocks Highlight This Week

Welcome to the first week of October!  As usual, at the start of the week, we are looking for valuable insights that will bring us profits in trading. Let’s observe the main events. 

The US Dollar Is Correcting
The US Dollar Is Correcting

Inflation in Europe was released better than the forecast. The preliminary fact was published at 4.3%. What's happening in the markets?

Deposit with your local payment systems

Data collection notice

FBS maintains a record of your data to run this website. By pressing the “Accept” button, you agree to our Privacy policy.


A manager will call you shortly.

Change number

Your request is accepted.

A manager will call you shortly.

Next callback request for this phone number
will be available in

If you have an urgent issue please contact us via
Live chat

Internal error. Please try again later

Don’t waste your time – keep track of how NFP affects the US dollar and profit!

You are using an older version of your browser.

Update it to the latest version or try another one for a safer, more comfortable and productive trading experience.

Safari Chrome Firefox Opera