The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
Stock Market Recovers, Fed Meeting Is Eyed
- A selloff in stocks stopped. S&P 500 has reversed up from the 100-day moving average. It should be the perfect time to buy the index.
- The day has started with the detailed record of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s last meeting. The bank warned about the slow rebound from lockdowns and claimed it wasn’t going to increase the cash rate before 2024. This is actually negative news for the Australian dollar. However, AUD/USD has surged at the start of the day driven by the overall risk-on sentiment.
- All eyes are on Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. The US central bank is expected to start laying the groundwork for scaling back stimulus. If it hints at tapering, it will push the USD up.
- China’s assets are touching the dips driven by worries over Evergrande, the Chinese second-largest property developer by sales. The company’s stock dropped at the weekly opening by over 10%, as the company faces financial problems: its liabilities reached $305 billion.
- Gold has started recovering, ending yesterday with gains in the 1760 level. Crude oil prices are edging higher as well.
EUR/USD has failed to cross the support level of 1.1710, which it struggled to break on March 30 and August 10. Watch the breakout of 1.1750. If it happens, EUR/USD is likely to surge to the 50-day moving average of 1.1800.
Gold has reversed up from the 100-week moving average of $1755. If it manages to break above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of $1770, it will rocket to the psychological mark of $1800. On the flip side, if it reverses down from the resistance level of $1770, it will fall to the low of March 28 at $1730.
USD/JPY is moving inside the ascending channel. It is likely to bounce off the lower line at 109.30 and jump to the recent high of 110.00. Support levels are 109.30 and 109.00.
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
Last week was full of surprises! Stock indices have shown significant growth…
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).