What to Trade on August 22–26?
How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
Stocks surged after Trump left hospital
The US president is back to White House after three days spent in the hospital. Riskier assets rose, while safe havens dipped.
Fundamentals
- All attention to Trump’s fast recovery from Covid-19. His return back to work has improved the market sentiment.
- Besides, escalating new virus cases and also Trump being part of that increased chances for the launch of a fiscal stimulus package. When officials finally unveil it, it should boost the sentiment even more.
- Elsewhere, national polls have pointed to the victory of Joe Biden. As people see the clear winner, they stopped being afraid of a close election, and also aggressive and cut-throat competition.
- US ISM Services PMI came out better than analysts expected: 57.8 vs. the forecast of 56.3.
- The Reserve Bank of Australia has left interest rates and yield target unchanged. According to Capital Economics, the RBA’s statement “sounded dovish and left the door open for additional stimulus”.
- Chinese people enjoy the vacation, named the Golden Week. Whereas the whole world is engulfed with the fresh virus outbreak, China has taken infections under control and has shown a steady economic rebound.
Watch our daily trading plan!
Technical tips
EUR/USD
EUR/USD has beautifully bounced off the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 1.17050 and rallied to 1.1800, but failed to cross this level. If it manages to break through it, it may rise to the 50.0% Fibonacci level of 1.1810 and then to 61.8% Fibo level of 1.1860. In the opposite scenario, the move below the 38.2% Fibo level of 1.17640 will drive the pair back to 1.17050.
S&P 500
S&P 500 is edging higher amid the overall risk-on sentiment. The move above the high of September 16 at 3 420 will push the stock index upwards to 3 480. On the flip side, the move below the 100-period moving average of 3 330 will push the price lower to September’s low of 3 205.
AUD/USD
The Australian dollar has reversed from the key resistance of 0.7210 at the 50.0% Fibo level. If it crosses the 38.2% Fibo level of 0.7160, it will fall deeper to Friday’s low of 0.7140. In the opposite scenario, if the aussie manages to break the 50.0% level, it will jump to 0.7260, as the current risk-on mood may help it to climb up.
Gold
Finally, let’s talk about XAU/USD. It has been trading in the ascending channel. The move above yesterday’s high of $1 920 will push the price the 200-period moving average at $1 926. Otherwise, if the risky mood weighs further on the precious metal and it drops below the recent low of $1 890, the doors to $1 880 will be open.
Follow up:
- Australian Annual Budget will be published at 11:30 MT time.
- ECB’s President Lagarde will speak 5 minutes later.
- The Canadian Trade Balance will be out at 15:30 MT time.
- Fed’s Powell will deliver a report at 17:40 MT time.
Similar
Geopolitical News Influence Markets
Russian-Ukrainian conflict is influencing every economic aspect…
Market Outlook For February 21-25
Last week was full of surprises! The US dollar plunged despite a better-than-expected retail sales report…
Latest news
Assets Won’t Survive This Week
As Europe moves into recession, next week may provide us with some amazing trading opportunities. Here they are!
Post-Fed Releases for USD & CAD Traders
Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
