The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
The Bank of England may support the GBP
The Bank of England will release its monetary policy summary and announce the interest rate on June 20, at 14:00 MT time.
We anticipate the BOE to keep its interest rate at 0.75%. At the same time, the hints on the possible changes to the rate by the bank will likely bring volatility to the GBP. Last week, policymakers expressed mixed views on the next steps by the BOE. Some of them are sure that the rate hike is needed soon to keep inflation pressures under control. Others mention political risk as a reason why the Bank of England is going to keep the rate on hold in the near future. Let’s wait for the final opinion on the issue by the BOE governor Mark Carney.
• If the BOE sounds positive, the GBP will go up;
• If the BOE sounds negative, the GBP will go down.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.