The US dollar turned to the upside on Monday. Let's discuss what to expect next from the market.
The BOE meeting: uncertainty rises, the pound… stands still?
On November 7, the Bank of England will announce the interest rate decision. Normally such meetings have a significant impact on the currency, but the analysts advise this time may be not the case.
The British economy has been doing relatively well recently despite the Brexit tensed environment: the unemployment below 4% is close to the mark unseen since the last 50 years, average earnings are growing by 3.8% and real incomes are rising by 2% annually, while the inflation stays at 2%. So, from the outside things don’t look bad.
However, not all the Monetary Policy Committee members think the same: at least two out of nine are believed to be reluctant to keep the rate at the current level. Prolonged Brexit deadlock, business confidence at the 10-year low, internal political debates and the global economic slowdown all are pushing towards the monetary easing that we may see later on. In turn, that should force the GBP to drop.
But for now, these factors are not expected to divert the British pound from the rising trend it has been showing against the main currencies since August this year.
Follow news with FBS to know whether the BOE statement will affect the GBP.
The market is resilient ahead of the speeches of Fed’s Powell and ECB President Lagarde, but there are still interesting movements.
The uncertainty over US fiscal stimulus and Brexit, and also rising new virus cases deteriorated the market mood. That’s why we can expect the further rally of the US dollar and the fall of riskier assets today.
The focus of traders’ attention shifted from Brexit and the US stimulus to the coronavirus . The WHO claimed that Europe become the new Covid-19 epicenter.
Canada will publish the monthly GDP growth on October 30 at 14:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank publishes the monetary policy statement alongside with an update on the interest rate on October 29, at 14:45 MT time.