Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
The British pound continues to go down as political risks intensify.
A lot of political uncertainties are driving the British pound down. The main of them is, of course, connected with the question: "How long Theresa May will stay a prime minister?"
Her proposal to publish a new withdrawal agreement bill (WAB) this Friday was not welcomed by her colleagues. The new agreement suggests the possibility of the second referendum and the customs union.
Reportedly, Theresa May will face another non-confidence vote tomorrow, if she does not announce the date of her departure.
What may be a game changer today?
- Theresa May will meet with the ministers today;
- The Cabinet will try to find a solution on delivering Brexit no matter what.
Technical levels for GBP/USD
The pair is testing the significant support level at 1.2603. If today's talks do not result in any breakthrough, the pair will fall further to the last December's lows. The next support will be placed at 1.2493. If the pair is supported today, it will rise to the resistance at 1.26882.
RSI is moving within the oversold zone and Stochastic formed a crossover within this zone, which may signal a possible buying opportunity.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.