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The European Central Bank (ECB) conference took place today, September 13. The ECB didn’t change its policy. It was anticipated by investors. There had been worries about an influence of the lower economic forecasts on the EUR.
ECB updated the data concerned GDP growth for the next two years. According to the president of the ECB Mario Draghi’s report, gross domestic product will grow by 2.0% in 2018, 1.9% in 2019 and 1.7% in 2020. The small decrease in expected percent of GDP growth was accompanied by the unchanged forecasts of inflation for 2018, 2019 and 2020. The expected level of inflation for the next three years is 1.7%. Draghi said that it will be consistent. In his opinion, lower growth doesn't always lead to lower inflation.
However, the situation for currency came out better than it was expected.
Analyzing the outcome of the ECB meeting, the fact that Draghi didn’t speak about the emerging market risks brought some joy to EUR/USD buyers.
In addition, CPI of the US revealed today showed lower figures than it was expected (0.2% vs 0.3%). This pushed the USD down and made EUR/USD even more favorable for bulls. As we can see on the daily chart, the pair has been rising reaching the 100-day moving average at 1.1680. This is the resistance level for EUR/USD. If the pair closes above this level, the next resistance will be at 1.1740. The opposite situation will result in uncertainty of the next euro move.
Reportedly, the ECB is analyzing the possibility of the change of the current inflation target of "below but close to 2%". It weakened the EUR
What is important today?
USD/SGD rises as the indicators disappoint the market.
In July, Britain's inflation rate rallied for the first time in 2018, thus leaving many UK households feeling quite squeezed by prices, soaring at nearly the same tempo as their wages…
On Friday, the evergreen buck rallied versus its counterparts after data disclosed that the American economy generated more jobs than anticipated In October, thus backing the Fed’s case to proceed with gradual rate lifts…
On Tuesday, gold rallied because uncertainty over the latest developments in Britain’s departure from the EU backed safe haven demand and traders looked ahead for American inflation data to underpin the Fed’s pledge to remain on hold…
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