During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The first significant opportunity for the USD in 2020
The American manufacturing PMI by the Institute of Supply Management will be out at 17:00 MT time on January 3.
This is the leading indicator of economic health, which shows how businesses’ attitude towards the economic conditions of the market. Basically, this is the survey of 400 purchasing managers, which asks them to rate the relative level of business conditions. The indicator above 50 demonstrates the expansion of the industry, while the indicator below 50 signals the contraction. Last time it fell to 48.1. This time, analysts anticipate it to reach 49.
• If the actual level is higher than the forecasts, the USD will go up;
• If the actual level is lower than the forecasts, the USD will go down.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.