The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
The GDP growth may push the USD up
The United States will release the level of final GDP growth on June 27, at 15:30 MT.
This indicator is the broadest measure of economic activity, that is why traders pay high attention to it. Last time it came out lower than the expectations (2.2% vs. 2.4%). The negative data raised concerns over the slowdown of the US economy and was one of the reasons behind the projections of the rate cut by the Fed. As a result, the USD weakened. However, this time the figures may lead to a different outcome.
• If the actual level of GDP growth is higher than the forecasts, the USD will go up;
• If the actual level of GDP growth is lower than the forecasts, the USD will go down
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.