Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
The market awaits NFP
The level of non-farm payrolls (NFP), also known as non-farm employment change will be published on September 6, at 15:30 MT time.
NFP shows the change in the number of employed people during the previous month (without farmers). The indicator is followed by the releases of average hourly earnings and unemployment rate. All of them are important as the Fed usually take them into account while considering its future rate decisions. Moreover, the US dollar tends to get volatile after the release. Last time, non-farm payrolls came out in line with the forecast of 164 thousand. At the same time, the level of average hourly earnings beat the estimates with an increase by +0.3%, but unemployment rate disappointed with a rise to 3.7%. The USD was supported in a short term, but bulls could not hold their positions. This time we may see a different outcome.
• If NFP is higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If NFP is lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on May 27 at 15:30 GMT+3.
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.