Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
The market awaits NFP
The level of non-farm payrolls (NFP), also known as non-farm employment change will be published on September 6, at 15:30 MT time.
NFP shows the change in the number of employed people during the previous month (without farmers). The indicator is followed by the releases of average hourly earnings and unemployment rate. All of them are important as the Fed usually take them into account while considering its future rate decisions. Moreover, the US dollar tends to get volatile after the release. Last time, non-farm payrolls came out in line with the forecast of 164 thousand. At the same time, the level of average hourly earnings beat the estimates with an increase by +0.3%, but unemployment rate disappointed with a rise to 3.7%. The USD was supported in a short term, but bulls could not hold their positions. This time we may see a different outcome.
• If NFP is higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If NFP is lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
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The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.