During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The market awaits NFP
The level of non-farm payrolls (NFP), also known as non-farm employment change will be published on September 6, at 15:30 MT time.
NFP shows the change in the number of employed people during the previous month (without farmers). The indicator is followed by the releases of average hourly earnings and unemployment rate. All of them are important as the Fed usually take them into account while considering its future rate decisions. Moreover, the US dollar tends to get volatile after the release. Last time, non-farm payrolls came out in line with the forecast of 164 thousand. At the same time, the level of average hourly earnings beat the estimates with an increase by +0.3%, but unemployment rate disappointed with a rise to 3.7%. The USD was supported in a short term, but bulls could not hold their positions. This time we may see a different outcome.
• If NFP is higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If NFP is lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.