The main bank of Russian will likely turn hawkish today. Time to sell USD/RUB?
The market awaits the Fed decision
The Federal Open Market Committee will publish its statement and announce an official rate on September 18, at 21:00 MT time. After that, there will be a press conference conducted by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 21:30 MT.
According to analysts, the Federal Reserve will cut its interest rate from the 2.25-2% to 1.75-2% range. If it happens, that will be the second rate cut of this year. In addition, economists will be waiting for the “dot plot” (statistical chart used by the Fed to convey its rate outlook), where the Fed representatives will reveal their projections of the changes to the interest rate during the next meetings. Besides that, the comments by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell may throw some clues on the future path of the regulator’s monetary policy.
• If the Fed cuts its rate, the USD will fall;
• If the Fed does not cut its rate, the USD will rise.
The United States will release retail sales and producer inflation (PPI index) numbers at 15:30 MT time on June 15.
Gold has plunged amid the stronger US dollar as investors await the Fed’s meeting this week.
All eyes are turning to the Federal Reserve and the US dollar. How to trade XAU/USD, EUR/USD, and GBP/USD?