Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
The market awaits the Fed decision
The Federal Open Market Committee will publish its statement and announce an official rate on September 18, at 21:00 MT time. After that, there will be a press conference conducted by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell at 21:30 MT.
According to analysts, the Federal Reserve will cut its interest rate from the 2.25-2% to 1.75-2% range. If it happens, that will be the second rate cut of this year. In addition, economists will be waiting for the “dot plot” (statistical chart used by the Fed to convey its rate outlook), where the Fed representatives will reveal their projections of the changes to the interest rate during the next meetings. Besides that, the comments by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell may throw some clues on the future path of the regulator’s monetary policy.
• If the Fed cuts its rate, the USD will fall;
• If the Fed does not cut its rate, the USD will rise.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.