The main bank of Russian will likely turn hawkish today. Time to sell USD/RUB?
The RBA has no clue what’s going on
The market anticipates the rate statement by the Reserve bank of Australia at 7:30 MT on October 1.
The speech by the RBA governor Philip Lowe on September 25 increased the chances of a rate cut during this meeting. According to the head of the bank, the regulator was “surprised” by the economic slowdown. It was not sure what else hurt the economy besides the global uncertainties, weak growth of the household prices and the drought. Besides the uncertain comments, Mr. Lowe said that the bank was ready to continue the easing policy to reduce unemployment and stimulate economic growth. That is why a rate cut by 25 basis points may happen and, therefore, may weaken the Australian currency.
• If the RBA cuts its rate, the AUD will fall;
• If the RBA does not cut its rate, the AUD will rise.
The bullish movement in the stock market is gaining speed, and Bitcoin ETFs are closer than they might seem. What do we need to know for the next trading week?
The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).