The main bank of Russian will likely turn hawkish today. Time to sell USD/RUB?
The RBA has no clue what’s going on
The market anticipates the rate statement by the Reserve bank of Australia at 7:30 MT on October 1.
The speech by the RBA governor Philip Lowe on September 25 increased the chances of a rate cut during this meeting. According to the head of the bank, the regulator was “surprised” by the economic slowdown. It was not sure what else hurt the economy besides the global uncertainties, weak growth of the household prices and the drought. Besides the uncertain comments, Mr. Lowe said that the bank was ready to continue the easing policy to reduce unemployment and stimulate economic growth. That is why a rate cut by 25 basis points may happen and, therefore, may weaken the Australian currency.
• If the RBA cuts its rate, the AUD will fall;
• If the RBA does not cut its rate, the AUD will rise.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.