The Australian Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes are announced on Tuesday at 04:30 MT time.
The RBA has no clue what’s going on
The market anticipates the rate statement by the Reserve bank of Australia at 7:30 MT on October 1.
The speech by the RBA governor Philip Lowe on September 25 increased the chances of a rate cut during this meeting. According to the head of the bank, the regulator was “surprised” by the economic slowdown. It was not sure what else hurt the economy besides the global uncertainties, weak growth of the household prices and the drought. Besides the uncertain comments, Mr. Lowe said that the bank was ready to continue the easing policy to reduce unemployment and stimulate economic growth. That is why a rate cut by 25 basis points may happen and, therefore, may weaken the Australian currency.
• If the RBA cuts its rate, the AUD will fall;
• If the RBA does not cut its rate, the AUD will rise.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand made announcements regarding its monetary policy. The NZD/USD dropped.
April seasonal patterns weren’t supposed to work, but somehow they did. Even a strong fundamental issue such as the global recession amid the coronavirus couldn’t overwhelm it. That’s why May seasonal patterns may work as well.
Follow the report on August 14 at 15:30 MT time!
The market sentiment switched to risk-on. The US dollar is dipping down, while riskier assets are rising, especially the Australian dollar after the positive employment data. All eyes on US unemployment claims.
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