Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
The US inflation: getting worse?
The US CPI and core CPI are due at 15:30 MT time on May 12.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD
The consumer price index (CPI) measures the majority of overall inflation. It demonstrates the change in the value of goods and services purchased by customers over a certain period. The core level does not take into account food and energy prices due to their volatility. It is not a secret that the inflation is falling right now amid the lockdown in the American cities. We have already seen a decline in CPI indicators in March. Both measures fell lower than analysts predicted: headline indicator was down by 0.4% (vs. -0.3% expected) and core figures shrugged off experts’ anticipation of a rise of 0.1% with -0.1% reported. With the situation not getting any better, we may expect even lower figures on May 12. Will we see a surprise?
• If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.