Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
The US inflation: getting worse?
The US CPI and core CPI are due at 15:30 MT time on May 12.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD
The consumer price index (CPI) measures the majority of overall inflation. It demonstrates the change in the value of goods and services purchased by customers over a certain period. The core level does not take into account food and energy prices due to their volatility. It is not a secret that the inflation is falling right now amid the lockdown in the American cities. We have already seen a decline in CPI indicators in March. Both measures fell lower than analysts predicted: headline indicator was down by 0.4% (vs. -0.3% expected) and core figures shrugged off experts’ anticipation of a rise of 0.1% with -0.1% reported. With the situation not getting any better, we may expect even lower figures on May 12. Will we see a surprise?
• If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.