Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
The US jobless claims!
The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
Since the second week of October, the number of initial jobless claims has never exceeded 800K in the US. The average values have been revolving around the channel of 750-780K throughout the latest weeks. On a large scale, there is a clear recovery path that the US labor market has been gradually following since the record peak of unemployed people in April. However, this is not what may move the USD in the short term: the market expectation is. Therefore, what you have to look for is whether the market will be “amused or not amused” with the actual number of initial jobless claims as compared to the expectation. If it is better than the forecast, the USD will get stronger. If not, the dollar may soften.
- If the data is better-than-thought, the USD will be boosted.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
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