The US will announce the advanced Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on July 28 at 15:30 MT time.
The US NFP: What’s New?
What will happen?
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce average hourly earnings, nonfarm employment change (NFP), and the unemployment rate on July 8, at 15:30 MT time. These data are published monthly, usually on the first Friday of the month. Due to its seasonality, average hourly earnings and nonfarm payrolls don’t include the farming industry. The unemployment rate is a key indicator of overall economic health that helps analysts assess the US economic situation.
How can the USD react?
The last release showed that the US economy added 390,000 jobs. It’s better than expected, despite fears of economic growth slowdown and soaring inflation. At the same time, the unemployment rate remained at 3.6%, just above the lowest level since December 1969.
These numbers made the greenback strengthen. GBPUSD fell 471 points. It’s -0.38%. If you traded one lot there, your income could be $471.
How to trade on the US NFP release?
If NFP is higher than expected, the USD will rise. If NFP is lower than expected, the USD will fall. The unemployment rate situation is the opposite: the lower the indicator, the better for the US currency.
- If actual numbers of NFP beat expectations, then the USD will go up.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
Watch the video from our analyst to learn more about an NFP trading strategy!
Check the Economic Calendar.
Instruments to trade: EURUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF.
The ECB will make a statement regarding the future monetary policy on Thursday, July 21, at 15:15 MT time (GMT+3).
The US Markit will publish Flash Manufacturing and Flash Services PMIs (purchasing managers' indices) on June 23 at 16:45 GMT+3.
The United States will publish the Inflation Rate and Core Inflation Rate, also known as US CPI and Core CPI, on August 10 at 15:30 GMT+3.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release monthly average hourly earnings, non-farm employment change (NFP), and unemployment rate on August 5, 15:30 GMT+3.
The Bank of England (BoE) will share its Official Bank Rate and make a statement on monetary policy on August 4, 14:00 GMT+3.