The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will release monthly Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on June 30, 15:30 GMT+3.
The US Retail Sales Update
What will happen?
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT. This monthly release shows the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. The core result excludes automobiles because they make 20% of all retail sales and tend to be very volatile. Retail sales are the main indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity.
Possible USD moves
The retail sales rose significantly in March due to the record high gas prices, and the experts don’t expect any decrease soon. At the same time, soaring prices reduce consumer purchasing power, but rising wages are helping to cushion some of the blow. Lower gasoline prices and a stronger labor market have seen consumer sentiment recover from a ten-year low in early April.
Last month, on April 14, the numbers were mild: retail sales were 0.5% vs 0.6% expected. However, the Core Retail sales were slightly better than expected, 1.1% vs. 1.0%. The results did not provoke strong fluctuations, but there was a little jump right after the release. Let’s look at the USDCAD pair chart.
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How to trade on the US Retail Sales release?
This report is important for traders as it affects the US dollar – the most traded currency in the Forex market!
- If the indicators are greater than forecasted, the USD will rise.
- Alternatively, the USD will drop.
Check the Economic Calendar.
The governor of the Bank of England, Andrew Bailey, will hold a speech on June 29 at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify on the Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report before the House Financial Services Committee on June 22-23 at 17:00 GMT+3.
The Federal Open Market Committee, a committee within the Federal Reserve, will reveal a detailed record of the central bank’s last meeting on July 6 at 21:00 MT.
The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its cash rate and make a statement about future rate policy on Tuesday, July 5, at 07:30 MT.
The US Institute for Supply Management will release ISM manufacturing PMI on July 1, 17:00 GMT+3.