The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
The US weekly labor data is out!
US Initial jobless claims will be announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The unemployment claims registered in the US have been going flat for the last two weeks. 881K in the first week and 884K in the second week of September indicate that the labor market has finally withstood the blow of the virus and is now going through the stabilization phase. As it is unlikely that the numbers will rise, the question is how fast they will fall. This question eventually will affect the pace of recovery: the sooner the numbers drop, the faster the recovery will go. Observers expect to see some 850K initial jobless claims. USD may be pushed to the upside or downside depending on whether the actual data will outperform or underperform against this expectation.
- If the jobs data is better-than-thought, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
Happy Wednesday, traders! We went through the Internet and found the best news for you, take a look!
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.