The Fed is ready to start tapering in November. Since the markets were expecting this and it wasn’t a surprise, the USD slumped allowing risk-on currencies and gold to rally up.
The US weekly labor data is out!
US Initial jobless claims will be announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The unemployment claims registered in the US have been going flat for the last two weeks. 881K in the first week and 884K in the second week of September indicate that the labor market has finally withstood the blow of the virus and is now going through the stabilization phase. As it is unlikely that the numbers will rise, the question is how fast they will fall. This question eventually will affect the pace of recovery: the sooner the numbers drop, the faster the recovery will go. Observers expect to see some 850K initial jobless claims. USD may be pushed to the upside or downside depending on whether the actual data will outperform or underperform against this expectation.
- If the jobs data is better-than-thought, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
US Retail Sales will be out on October 15 at 15:30 MetaTrader time (GMT+3).
The crypto market keeps recovering. Bitcoin has broken above $57,000. The way up to $60,000 is open now!
The US dollar is heading to close the seventh day in the red as it remains under selling pressure. The US data at 15:30 GMT+3 (jobless claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Index) may support the greenback if it's strong.
Canada will publish the Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales on October 22, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).
The United States will release the weekly Unemployment Claims on October 21, at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3).