The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
The US weekly labor data is out!
US Initial jobless claims will be announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD
The unemployment claims registered in the US have been going flat for the last two weeks. 881K in the first week and 884K in the second week of September indicate that the labor market has finally withstood the blow of the virus and is now going through the stabilization phase. As it is unlikely that the numbers will rise, the question is how fast they will fall. This question eventually will affect the pace of recovery: the sooner the numbers drop, the faster the recovery will go. Observers expect to see some 850K initial jobless claims. USD may be pushed to the upside or downside depending on whether the actual data will outperform or underperform against this expectation.
- If the jobs data is better-than-thought, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise, it will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.