Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
The US will publish important indicators
The levels of retail sales and core retail sales for the US will be out on July 16, at 15:30 MT time.
The indicator of retail sales represents the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. Its core level shows data, which excludes automobile sales due to their high volatility. Last time the headline retail sales increased by a lower-than-expected level of 0.5% (vs. the forecast of +0.7%). At the same time, the core indicator came out in line with the expectations. It showed an increase of 0.5%. As a result, the USD failed to rise on these indicators. Will the release bring positive momentum to the USD this time?
• If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.