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The levels of retail sales and core retail sales for the US will be out on July 16, at 15:30 MT time.
The indicator of retail sales represents the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. Its core level shows data, which excludes automobile sales due to their high volatility. Last time the headline retail sales increased by a lower-than-expected level of 0.5% (vs. the forecast of +0.7%). At the same time, the core indicator came out in line with the expectations. It showed an increase of 0.5%. As a result, the USD failed to rise on these indicators. Will the release bring positive momentum to the USD this time?
• If the indicators are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The Canadian monthly GDP is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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