During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The USD may be supported by the releases
The United States will publish the level of CPI and core CPI at on October 10 at 15:30 MT time. CPI is an important indicator, which accounts for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the Fed to raise interest rates. Last month CPI came out in line with the forecast at +0.1%. As for the core level of CPI (without food and energy process), the actual figures showed an increase of 0.3% (vs. the forecast of 0.2%). If this time the releases are greater than the expectations, the USD will get positive momentum.
• If the indicators are higher than the forecast, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are lower than the forecast, the USD will fall
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.