We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.
The USD may be triggered by the Fed
The Federal Open Market Committee will make its statement and announce the interest rate on July 29, at 21:00 MT time. Half an hour later, the bank will hold its regular press conference with the Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY
After buying a significant amount of bonds worth trillions of dollars to support the economy, the Federal Reserve stands at a crossroads. Should the regulator unveil more stimulus during the upcoming meeting? That’s the main question, which attracts traders’ attention. On the one hand, we see that the Fed’s actions and the interest rate near zero are supporting the economy and encouraging the markets. On the other hand, rising cases of coronavirus in the US show the economy may come through a lot before a complete recovery. Therefore, further supportive actions, including additional bond purchases and careful policy guidance by the Federal Reserve may be needed.
- If the Federal Reserve is pessimistic, the USD may weaken;
- If the Federal Reserve is optimistic, the USD may strengthen.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
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The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.