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The United States will release the headline and core retail sales at 15:30 MT on November 15.
The indicators represent the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. The difference of the core indicator from the headline one is that the former excludes automobile sales due to their high volatility. Last time both of the indicators came out lower than the forecasts. While advance retail sales dropped by 0.3% (vs. the anticipated increase by 0.3%), the retail sales without autos fell by 0.1% (vs. +0.2% expected). The disappointing figures pulled the USD lower. Let’s see how the release affects the USD this time.
• If the indicators are greater than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the indicators are weaker than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The Canadian monthly GDP is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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