Will the CPI Crash the USD?
The most impactful releases of this week will fill the market with volatility and sharp movements. Be ready to take action!
The volatility for the USD is expected
The level of non-farm payrolls, also known as non-farm employment change or NFP will be out on June 7, at 15:30 MT time.
The indicator represents the change in the number of employed people during the previous month without farmers. Traders pay huge attention to it, as it makes the US dollar highly volatile after the release. Also, we recommend you not to underestimate the unemployment rate and the level of average hourly earnings. These indicators are released at the same time as the non-farm payrolls and they tend to affect the USD as well. Last time, the NFP outperformed the forecasts. It advanced by 263 thousand jobs (vs. 181 thousand expected). However, bulls could not hold their positions due to the lower-than-expected average hourly earnings (0.2% vs. 0.3%). This time the employment data may lead to a different outcome.
• If NFP is higher than the expectations, the USD will rise;
• If NFP is lower than the expectations, the USD will fall.
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