Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Time to buy the world’s worst currencies
A top strategist, Charlie Robertson, said that these days we could gain from buying emerging-market currencies such as South African rand, Mexican peso and Brazilian real.
He strongly believes that these currencies are ready to reverse as they hit their bottom. In his opinion, this is the cheapest opportunity in over 20 years. Robertson’s main arguments are the upcoming weakness of the US dollar and the financial support of developing countries from the International Monetary Fund and World Bank. In addition, he said that crude oil prices may rise up to $45-50 per barrel in the mid-term with relevant rebound of the Russian ruble.
It’s hard to believe, but Charlie Robertson had already made forecasts that turned to be true. He was right about Romanian bonds in the late 1990s and South Africa’s rand in 2016. Who knows, maybe this time he is correct again.
The analyst's idea is that it's time to sell such pairs as USD/ZAR.
Let’s have a look at the USD/ZAR chart. The South African rand exceeded the 17.9 mark that equals to the pick of 2016. After that, it returned to this level again.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.