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The US central bank turned the market upside down. It signaled that higher inflation is a concern and that it’s considering tapering policy. The USD soared versus other major currencies, while gold headed for the biggest weekly loss in 15 months. Let’s see what new moves await us this week!
The outlook for the USD is now strong, so levels below 1.20 may be more appropriate for EUR/USD. Traders will continue monitoring comments from the ECB and the Fed that are expected on Monday and Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday respectively. Overall, it won’t be easy for EUR/USD to recover.
The British pound will be in the center of the market’s attention not only versus the US dollar, but also against the euro, the yen, and other currencies as everything will depend on the Bank of England’s policy statement that will be out on Thursday. If the UK central bank follows the path of the Federal Reserve and acknowledges economic recovery and inflation, the GBP will recover. Otherwise it will fall.
The yellow metal dropped below $1800, as the Fed’s talk about policy normalization makes gold less attractive to investors. XAU/USD will remain under pressure as long as the price is staying below $1855. Market players will likely keep selling gold on recoveries.
At the start of last week, Brent rose to the highest levels since 2018 above $73 a barrel. Then there was a correction down on the Fed’s press conference. Still, global economic recovery and rising demand are going to keep the price supported, so the idea is to keep looking for buy opportunities.
Risk warning
The following information is not investment advice. Remember that trading is risky. Manage your funds carefully and remember that you can use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders to maximize your gains and limit your losses.
The Fed held a much-awaited meeting yesterday. The bank hasn’t made any policy changes. As a result, the USD weakened and EUR/USD rocketed. Jump in to know all the latest news!
What will happen? The US Q2 Gross Domestic Product will be announced at 15:30 MT time (GMT+3) on Thursday, July 29…
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will hold a meeting and announce changes to the monetary policy on August 3, at 07:30 MT time (GMT+3).
What events to follow and how to trade during the week of July 2-6?
EUR/USD retraced to 1.1870 after breaking out this level. It should be just a natural sell-off ahead of the further rally up.
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