The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
Trade the USD on the extreme volatility
The Federal Reserve will make its monetary policy statement and announce the official rate on December 19, at 21:00 MT time.
The market anticipates the rate hike from 2.25% to 2.5%, as was suggested during November's meeting. If the Fed increases the interest rate, it will be the fourth rate hike in 2018. In addition, the tone of the statement by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell may provide the volatility to the US Dollar. During the last month, a few members of the Federal Open Market Committee pointed on the increased uncertainty regarding the effects of current fiscal and trade policies on economic activity and inflation. Also, they told not to underestimate the current trade tensions with China. These comments made traders worried. The current Fed statement is anticipated to shed light on its future monetary policy.
• If the Federal Reserve increases the interest rate, the USD will rise;
• If the Federal Reserve leaves the interest rate unchanged, the USD will fall.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.