The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
Traders await NFP
US Non-Farm Employment Change, also known as Nonfarm Payrolls or NFP, will be released at 15:30 MT time on October 5.
The indicator shows how many jobs were created in the United States during the last month. It’s released together with the unemployment rate and the average hourly earnings indicators. All 3 of these indicators have a great impact on the USD.
The last time, on September 7, NFP came out at 201K (readings close to 200K are considered to be strong), and wage growth accelerated to 0.4% (this is the change in average earnings index). The slight disappointment with the unemployment rate didn’t spoil the picture. Traders bought the US currency on the news, and the USD rose versus all major currencies.
• If the NFP indicator is bigger than expected, the USD will go up.
• If the NFP indicator is smaller than expected, the USD will go down.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.