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US Non-Farm Employment Change, also known as Nonfarm Payrolls or NFP, will be released on February 1 at 15:30 MT time.
The indicator shows how many jobs were created in the United States during the last month. It’s released together with the unemployment rate and the average hourly earnings indicators. All 3 of these indicators have a great impact on the USD.The last time, on January 4, NFP came out at 312K (higher, than the forecast of 179K), and wage growth accelerated to 0.4% (this is the change in average earnings index). Traders bought the US currency on the news, and the USD was supported.
• If the NFP is greater than expected, the USD will go up.
• If the NFP is weaker than expected, the USD will go down.
The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
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This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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