The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
Traders await the releases for the USD
The USA will publish the level of retail sales and core retail sales on September 13, at 15:30 MT time. The indicator of retail sales represents the change in the total value of sales at the retail level. Its core level excludes automobile sales due to their high volatility. Last time the indicators outperformed the forecasts. The headline indicator increased by 0.7% (vs. the forecast of +0.3%). As for the core level, it advanced by 1% (vs. 0.4% expected). These great figures boosted the USD. Will the situation repeat itself this time?
• If the releases are higher than the forecasts, the USD will rise;
• If the releases are lower than the forecasts, the USD will fall.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The US unemployment claims are out on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.