Poor US data, slow vaccine distribution, rising virus cases worsened the market sentiment and underpinned safe-haven currencies like the USD, and JPY.
Trading on the ECB meeting
The ECB will announce the interest rate and hold a press conference on Thursday at 14:45 MT time.
Instruments to trade: EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/CAD
March 12 will be when the ECB gathers for another meeting to hold its monthly press conference and announce its interest rate and monetary policy outlook. As usual, we are not expecting any changes to the rate itself but will look into the details of the verbal message. At the same time, this “as usual” becomes not that usual as the coronavirus damage is yet spreading around, and the Eurozone is still about to discover its effects. When the ECB President Christine Lagarde was asked whether the policymakers were to act on it, she explained that they are watching it very carefully. But, she informed, they still don’t see that the virus outbreak created a “long-lasting shock” which would warrant a rate cut because of distorted supply, demand, and inflation. Hence, lets pay attention to what she says this time – this will guide us through EUR’s performance in the Forex market.
- If the ECB is dovish, the EUR will fall.
- If the ECB is hawkish, the EUR will rise.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The Canadian central bank will make a monetary policy report and announce interest rates on Wednesday, January 20, at 17:00 MT time. Also, the BOC press conference will be held later.
USD’s rally takes a pause, while riskier assets are modestly rising.
We are now past the middle of January, and this means that the largest US companies will report their earnings for the fourth quarter and many of them will provide the results of the entire 2020.