US Initial jobless claims will be announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
TRY: no happiness on gas discovery
This Friday, the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan announced the biggest natural gas discovery Turkey ever had. The gas field was found in the Black Sea.
Fundamentally, that’s very good news for Turkey. With this discovery – and with the successful development of the gas field - it would no longer need to rely on Russia, Iran, or Iraq in providing its’ economy with such a key energy source like gas. But…
The field resulted to be less than expected. So the impact of this news is not as strategic as it was expected. Rather, tactical. However, it does give Turkey another leverage at hand, especially in view of its’ rally to become a primary regional power and beyond.
The TRY initially took over the USD, probably hoping for greater news – greater both tactically and geographically. USD/TRY dropped below 7.20. Afterwards, however, it reversed all the gains getting back above 7.30.
Currently, USD/TRY is at strategic highs, and no gas field exploration seems to reverse the trend in the long run. 7.40 is a very viable target for the mid-term horizon.
The US dollar has broken through the key resistance, it failed to cross since March so far. Riskier assets are dipping. Let’s discuss it in detail.
Services and Manufacturing PMIs are out on Wednesday at 11:30 MT time.
China’s Manufacturing PMI will be out on Wednesday at 04:00 MT time!
China's industrial rebound, progress in US fiscal stimulus and other important news in this article.
The market sentiment is mixed as investors weigh US stimulus package against the rising infections and worse-than-expected US unemployment claims. Jump in for fresh analysis of EUR/USD, USD/JPY, S&P 500 and gold!