Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
Turkish lira is falling down
It’s a tough time for the Turkish lira. The USD/TRY is moving up strongly and aggressively. It broke through the highest historic closing price of 2018 year, notably 6.82, and has almost reached the 7.00 mark.
According to economists from TD Securities, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) will completely exhaust Net International Reserves this week. Moreover, if the present rate doesn’t slow down, total reserves will be over at the latest by the 3rd week of September, at the earliest by the 3rd week of July.
The CBRT cut the benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 8.75 percent, surprising economists, who had forecast a 50-basis point reduction. However, such a huge decline would have happened anyway, even if the CBRT didn’t cut rates. Some analysts think the pair can rise even to the 8 mark.
The first week of November promises to be eventful, as we have the Fed meeting, the BOE update, and the NFP release. Read more details here.
Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make a statement and release a Cash Rate on February 7, 05:30 GMT+2. It's among the primary tools the RBA uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy.
This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.