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Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
Turkish lira is falling down
It’s a tough time for the Turkish lira. The USD/TRY is moving up strongly and aggressively. It broke through the highest historic closing price of 2018 year, notably 6.82, and has almost reached the 7.00 mark.
According to economists from TD Securities, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) will completely exhaust Net International Reserves this week. Moreover, if the present rate doesn’t slow down, total reserves will be over at the latest by the 3rd week of September, at the earliest by the 3rd week of July.
The CBRT cut the benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 8.75 percent, surprising economists, who had forecast a 50-basis point reduction. However, such a huge decline would have happened anyway, even if the CBRT didn’t cut rates. Some analysts think the pair can rise even to the 8 mark.
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