Last week several important economic updates influenced the Forex market. US preliminary GDP fell less than expected (0.6% actual vs. 0.7% forecast). Below you will find the key events to trade on during the week from August 29 to September 2.
Turkish lira is falling down
It’s a tough time for the Turkish lira. The USD/TRY is moving up strongly and aggressively. It broke through the highest historic closing price of 2018 year, notably 6.82, and has almost reached the 7.00 mark.
According to economists from TD Securities, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) will completely exhaust Net International Reserves this week. Moreover, if the present rate doesn’t slow down, total reserves will be over at the latest by the 3rd week of September, at the earliest by the 3rd week of July.
The CBRT cut the benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 8.75 percent, surprising economists, who had forecast a 50-basis point reduction. However, such a huge decline would have happened anyway, even if the CBRT didn’t cut rates. Some analysts think the pair can rise even to the 8 mark.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.