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It’s a tough time for the Turkish lira. The USD/TRY is moving up strongly and aggressively. It broke through the highest historic closing price of 2018 year, notably 6.82, and has almost reached the 7.00 mark.
According to economists from TD Securities, the Central Bank of Turkey (CBRT) will completely exhaust Net International Reserves this week. Moreover, if the present rate doesn’t slow down, total reserves will be over at the latest by the 3rd week of September, at the earliest by the 3rd week of July.
The CBRT cut the benchmark interest rate by 100 basis points to 8.75 percent, surprising economists, who had forecast a 50-basis point reduction. However, such a huge decline would have happened anyway, even if the CBRT didn’t cut rates. Some analysts think the pair can rise even to the 8 mark.
During the daily press briefing of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, it was announced that Mexico will receive 1.4 million doses of the vaccine by the end of January. Is that optimistic enough for the peso?
The US unemployment claims are announced on Thursday at 15:30 MT time.
The Canadian monthly GDP is announced on Wednesday at 15:30 MT time.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.
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