The British monthly GDP is announced on Friday at 09:00 MT time.
UK Manufacturing Production
Manufacturing production is a leading indicator of Britain’s economic health. It makes up 80% of the country’s total industrial production. As a result, this release has a great impact on the pound’s exchange rate. Production is correlated with employment and earnings. Moreover, the indicator quickly reacts to ups and downs of the business cycle.
The UK economy suffered a lot because of the Brexit deal so every piece of economic statistics is very important. If manufacturing production turns out to be better than expected, the pound will get support. Otherwise, the data will signal further weakness of the UK economy, and the British pound will decline.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the British pound will appreciate.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the British pound will go down.
The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
The USD continues dipping, while the GBP is rising on hopes for the Brexit deal done today.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.