Trading on geopolitics on March 14-18
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
UK pound revives from Brexit summit
On Friday, the UK pound revived in Europe trade from Thursday’s buffeting when the EU admitted only a minimal extension of the deadline for Brexit.
Eventually, the currency pair GBP/USD was worth 1.3144, having slumped below 1.31 on Thursday because the risk of a disorderly no-deal Brexit rallied. As for the common currency it has also revived versus the evergreen buck getting to $1.1388, soaring from Thursday’s minimum of $1.1346.
Gauging the purchasing value of the American dollar in contrast with its main peers the USD index accounted for 95.722, tumbling from a maximum of 96.088. It appears to be 0.2% lower than it was before the major US bank announced the outcomes of its policy gathering on Wednesday.
The European Union gave the UK Prime Minister just a week to have her twice-defeated Withdrawal Agreement passed through the country’s legislative body. If Theresa May doesn’t manage to do it, and if the British parliament fails to agree an alternative course of action, which would convince the European blco to change its mind, then Brexit will occur on April 12 without any legal transitional deals in place to guarantee trade as well as investment flows.
The Brexit drama will most likely overshadow flash purchasing manager indexes.
In addition to this, Russia is going to round off a busy week of major bank meetings. Markers generally hope that the CBR won’t change its current major rate at 7.75%. However, the strength of crude prices along with the Fed’s looser stance on American monetary policy, might have created some space for a surprise cut.
The Russian ruble is currently at a seven-month maximum versus the evergreen buck - 63.74.
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Monday started with volatility
Have a look at the key financial instruments on Monday, February 28. Geopolitics is currently on all news frontlines. Western nations escalated sanctions on Russia for the invasion of Ukraine.
Forex, stocks, oil, and gold on Feb 28 - March 4
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
Latest news
The Big Release for the USD
The United States will publish the Preliminary GDP on Thursday, May 26, at 15:30 GMT+3.
Will New Zealand’s Central Bank Boost the NZD?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand will publish a monetary policy report and make an update on the interest rate on May 25, at 05:00 GMT+3.
What’s New with Australian Unemployment Rate?
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
