The main market tendency today is that the US dollar is rising against its major peers and riskier assets such as stocks and oil are plummeting.
US CPI will drive the USD
The US will release headline and core CPI at 15:30 MT time on October 11. CPI stands for Consumer Price Index. It’s one of the main measures of the US inflation. There’s a direct link between the US inflation and the price of the USD. The higher the inflation, the higher the USD in the short-term.The last time, American CPI rose less than expected (0.2% versus the forecast of 0.3%). The data release was on September 13. The USD declined versus many major currencies after the release.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the USD will rise.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the USD will go down.
The European Central Bank will publish the monetary policy statement with the interest rate decision on January 21, at 14:45 MT time.
Joe Biden is going to unveil a Covid-19 relief package of about $2 trillion. After this announcement, the 10-year Treasury yield rose, adding support for the USD.
The US dollar’s weakness offered a boost to emerging-market currencies and oil.