The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
US CPI will drive the USD
The US will release headline and core CPI at 15:30 MT time on October 11. CPI stands for Consumer Price Index. It’s one of the main measures of the US inflation. There’s a direct link between the US inflation and the price of the USD. The higher the inflation, the higher the USD in the short-term.The last time, American CPI rose less than expected (0.2% versus the forecast of 0.3%). The data release was on September 13. The USD declined versus many major currencies after the release.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the USD will rise.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the USD will go down.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
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S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
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