What to Trade on August 22–26?
How Energy Crisis Affects German PMI August 23, 2022, 10:30 GMT+3 Germany will publish Flash Manufacturing PMI data on Tuesday, August 23, at 10:30 MT time (GMT+3)…
US dollar rallies up after Fed
Latest news
- The US dollar has surged to levels unseen since April after the Fed's decision back on Wednesday. The central bank hinted about two rate hikes in 2023 and also started a discussion on cutting bond buys.
- Gold has reversed up from the local dips. Still, this week was the worst for gold in more than a year. Crude oil is recovering as well.
- AUD/USD is sharply falling despite strong Australian labor figures released on Thursday. It has just hit the lowest level unseen since December.
- GBP/USD has broken below 1.39 amid the strong USD and a jump in virus cases to levels unseen since mid-February. Besides, UK Retail Sales dropped by 1.4% in May and added to the headwinds.
- Bitcoin is on the back foot once again. It has just dropped below $38,000.
Technical outlook
EUR/USD has dropped out of the lower trend line to the support level of 1.1900. The RSI indicator has touched the 30.0 level indicating the pair is oversold. Thus, the pair should reverse up from the current levels. The move above the 1.1950 resistance level will lead the pair to the 200-day moving average of 1.2000. If the current bearish momentum remains, EUR/USD may fall to the low of March 8 at 1.1840.
Gold has bounced off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $1770. The yellow metal is edging higher to the 50% Fibo level of $1800. It’s unlikely to cross this level on the first try as it has failed to do so in late April – early May. Support levels are $1170 and $1735.
XBR/USD (Brent crude oil) is moving inside the ascending channel. The breakout above mid-June of $74.00 will push oil to the next round number of $75.00. Support levels are $72.00 and $ 71.00.
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Main news that will drive the market in the upcoming week include CB Consumer Confidence Index, Canadian GDP, and US Core PCE Price Index
FED and BOE Make Another Attempt to Beat Inflation
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its Interest Rate Decision and make a statement about the future monetary policy on Wednesday, September 21, GMT+3. After the higher-than-expected inflation numbers published on September 13, there’s almost no doubt the Federal Reserve will come up with another 75-basis-point rate hike. However, surprised by the CPI numbers, several Fed members announced the possibility of a 100-basis-point rate hike on Wednesday.
Will the UK and US Cope with Inflation?
Every week we expect many interesting events that can shake the market.
