The overall market sentiment is risk-on. The S&P 500 index (US 500) is getting close to the all-time high. Oil is recovering quickly from its recent losses.
US dollar rallies up after Fed
- The US dollar has surged to levels unseen since April after the Fed's decision back on Wednesday. The central bank hinted about two rate hikes in 2023 and also started a discussion on cutting bond buys.
- Gold has reversed up from the local dips. Still, this week was the worst for gold in more than a year. Crude oil is recovering as well.
- AUD/USD is sharply falling despite strong Australian labor figures released on Thursday. It has just hit the lowest level unseen since December.
- GBP/USD has broken below 1.39 amid the strong USD and a jump in virus cases to levels unseen since mid-February. Besides, UK Retail Sales dropped by 1.4% in May and added to the headwinds.
- Bitcoin is on the back foot once again. It has just dropped below $38,000.
EUR/USD has dropped out of the lower trend line to the support level of 1.1900. The RSI indicator has touched the 30.0 level indicating the pair is oversold. Thus, the pair should reverse up from the current levels. The move above the 1.1950 resistance level will lead the pair to the 200-day moving average of 1.2000. If the current bearish momentum remains, EUR/USD may fall to the low of March 8 at 1.1840.
Gold has bounced off the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $1770. The yellow metal is edging higher to the 50% Fibo level of $1800. It’s unlikely to cross this level on the first try as it has failed to do so in late April – early May. Support levels are $1170 and $1735.
XBR/USD (Brent crude oil) is moving inside the ascending channel. The breakout above mid-June of $74.00 will push oil to the next round number of $75.00. Support levels are $72.00 and $ 71.00.
Today the Fed will make a policy statement at 21:00 GMT+3. This event will affect all the currency pairs with the USD and thus almost the all Forex market!
What will happen? The FOMC statement will be published at 21:00 MT (GMT+3) on Wednesday, July 28…
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