The US dollar index keeps rounding above the 103.60 historical support level. The buyers have already defended this level for three weeks, highlighting their interest in the greenback. Thus, buying USD looks less risky right now.
US Inflation Jumped, Gold Keeps Rallying
- EUR/USD has dropped sharply to the low unseen since July 2020. The reason was the higher-than-expected US inflation figures that shocked investors as the annual Inflation Rate rocketed to the 31-year high of 6.2%.
- Concerns about inflation pressures reinforced expectations of interest-rate hikes in the US and pushed the USD up to a one-year high. A more hawkish outlook can press stocks that are near record highs these days.
- China’s Evergrande made an interest payment of $148 million on Wednesday, avoiding a default third time in a row. It has mildly improved the market sentiment and stopped the EUR/USD bears.
- Meanwhile, gold keeps rising! It has surged above $1850 for the first time since June. Will we see gold at $1900 soon?
- Australia has revealed poor labor data. Employment Change: -46.3K (forecast: 50.0K), Unemployment Rate: 5.2% (forecast: 4.8%). AUD/USD dropped initially but then reverse up.
Gold has broken above $1850! If it manages to overcome the next resistance level at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $1870, it may jump to the psychological mark of $1900. Support levels are $1845 and the 38.2% Fibo level of $1830.
AUD/USD is moving inside the ascending channel. It is getting closer to the lower line, so the reverse-up should occur soon. If it jumps above the 50- and 100-day moving averages of 0.7360, the way up to the next resistance level of 0.7450 will be open.
On the H4 timeframe, the US dollar index has formed a bullish falling wedge. At the beginning of the trading session, the price is testing the upper border of this wedge. Thus, in case of a higher-than-expected Core PCE Price Index m/m, the US dollar will skyrocket against other currencies.
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This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.