Last week, there were sharp swings in USDJPY, a decline in oil prices, and a surge in Tesla stock. What's next?
US Nonfarm Payrolls
US nonfarm payrolls are one of the most important economic indicators. A change in the number of employed people affects the consumer spending volume and as a result, expresses the economic health. That’s why the market always pays a high attention to this data.
The US labor market figure will be out at 15:30 MT time on August 3. Notice that it is not the only release that will come out at this time. It will be accompanied by the publication of Average Hourly Earnings and Unemployment Rate. As for average earnings, the higher is its growth, the better for the USD. The situation is opposite to the unemployment rate. The USD strengthens when the unemployment rate declines.
The feature of the indicator is that it’s very difficult to forecast the actual data. As a result, NFP always causes high volatility in the market.
• If the data is greater than the forecast, the USD will rise.
• If the data is weaker than the forecast, the USD will go down.
Check the economic calendar
Geopolitical factors and inflation remain the main drivers of financial markets. Let’s see how to use that in trading!
Last week was super intense! Geopolitical turbulence made the Russian ruble the most volatile currency. Gold rose and fell by more than 8000 points each time.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics will announce the updated Unemployment Rate and Employment Change data on Thursday, May 19, at 04:30 MT.
The UK Office for National Statistics will publish Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, May 18, at 09:00 MT.
The US Census Bureau will announce Core Retail Sales and Retail Sales on Tuesday, May 17 at 15:30 MT.