How to trade the JPY?
Happy Friday, traders! Are you ready to trade at the end of the week? Here’s what you need to know before you start:
US PCE Adds Fuel to the Fire
What will happen?
The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will release monthly Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on April 29, 15:30 GMT+3. PCE Index is quite similar to Consumer Price Index (CPI). The only difference between them is that CPI excludes foods and energy. Food and energy can take up to 25% of PCE, but they are highly seasonal. Without these volatile components, investors consider PCE a more accurate inflation indicator.
Why is it important?
Traders keep a close watch on it because of the rumors that this is Fed's favorite inflation measure. Nevertheless, CPI is released about ten days earlier and tends to garner the most attention. Last month, a higher-than-planned result caused an above-average bearish movement. This time volatility may be the same (or higher) as the inflation in the US is at 40-years high.
How to trade on US PCE release?
The results will have an impact on all USD pairs.
- If it turns out to be higher than expected, the USD will rise.
- Otherwise, USD will fall.
Check the economic calendar
Instruments to trade: USDJPY, USDCAD, EURUSD.
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Latest news
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This week may be the most important since the year started as the Fed assess the economic outlook and the US presents fresh NFP readings.
What Currency Will Overperform?
S&P Global, a private banking company, will release a monthly change in British Flash Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) on January 24, 11:30 GMT+2. The index is a leading indicator of economic health as businesses react quickly to market conditions, and purchasing managers hold the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
Investor Positivity May Fade After Powell's Speech and CPI Release
The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) m/m on January 12 at 15:30 GMT+2. The index measures a change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.
